Do want to look into the possible, likely future? Do you want to know what kind of world you and your children or grandchildren will possibly living in in 2025? Take the time to read this. Some things may surprise you, others may not. The NIC is part of the Federal Government and reports to the Director of National Intelligence.
GLOBAL TRENDS 2025: THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL'S 2025 PROJECT
From the Chairman of the National Intelligence Council
"Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World" is the fourth unclassified report prepared by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) in recent years that takes a long-term view of the future. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. Our report is not meant to be an exercise in prediction or crystal ball-gazing. Mindful that there are many possible "futures," we offer a range of possibilities and potential discontinuities, as a way of opening our minds to developments we might otherwise miss.
Some of our preliminary assessments are highlighted below:
Click here to read what they said in 1997 what the world would look like next year:
http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html
Click here to read what they said in 2000 what the world would look like in 2015:
http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2015.html
Click here to read what they said in 2004 what the world would look like in 2020:
http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2020.html
To get the easy read, I suggest just clicking ont he Executive Summary. I think it is fascinating to see the difference that will occur between 2020 and 2025. I hope you enjoy the read.
GLOBAL TRENDS 2025: THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL'S 2025 PROJECT
From the Chairman of the National Intelligence Council
"Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World" is the fourth unclassified report prepared by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) in recent years that takes a long-term view of the future. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. Our report is not meant to be an exercise in prediction or crystal ball-gazing. Mindful that there are many possible "futures," we offer a range of possibilities and potential discontinuities, as a way of opening our minds to developments we might otherwise miss.
Some of our preliminary assessments are highlighted below:
- The whole international system—as constructed following WWII—will be revolutionized. Not only will new players—Brazil, Russia, India and China— have a seat at the international high table, they will bring new stakes and rules of the game.
- The unprecedented transfer of wealth roughly from West to East now under way will continue for the foreseeable future.
- Unprecedented economic growth, coupled with 1.5 billion more people, will put pressure on resources—particularly energy, food, and water—raising the specter of scarcities emerging as demand outstrips supply.
- The potential for conflict will increase owing partly to political turbulence in parts of the greater Middle East.
As with the earlier NIC efforts—such as Mapping The Global Future 2020—the project's primary goal is to provide US policymakers with a view of how world developments could evolve, identifying opportunities and potentially negative developments that might warrant policy action. We also hope this paper stimulates a broader discussion of value to educational and policy institutions at home and abroad.
Click here to read the full report: http://www.dni.gov/nic/PDF_2025/2025_Global_Trends_Final_Report.pdfClick here to read what they said in 1997 what the world would look like next year:
http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globaltrends2010.html
Click here to read what they said in 2000 what the world would look like in 2015:
http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2015.html
Click here to read what they said in 2004 what the world would look like in 2020:
http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2020.html
To get the easy read, I suggest just clicking ont he Executive Summary. I think it is fascinating to see the difference that will occur between 2020 and 2025. I hope you enjoy the read.
2 comments:
That is a very interesting read. Looking back at the 1997 report you can see how their effort is sort of like palm reading. The assessment, as forward looking as they would like it to be, is colored by the the events of the time its created. In this instance, their emphasis on communications and the internet had a significant coloring of their perspective. I find it particularly interesting that they forecast the diminished importance of state government as unregulated information washes over the people. China seems to have found a way around that.
Its also interesting to note how excited the forecasters were about global communications changing the world forever, yet they could not forecast the internet bubble bursting and the excess communications capacity created by the bubble. Their forecast was written in bubble market psycology of the time.
I am seeing a consistent theme from the most recent forecasts indicating a flatter world. Looks like I need to learn Sanskrit and Chinese.
I thought it was an interesting read myself. It was interesting to look and see where they saw Russia in 2010 from 1997 - they were pretty dead on - except Russia has moved faster than they predicted.
It is interesting to think of how these forecast must shape domestic and foreign policy. A lot of the think-tanks, juntos, and policy makers must develop their proposals with these forecasts in mind. I suppose we too should develop our opinions of current events in light of the predicted future - rather than just the present or the recent past... 2025 looks interesting doesn't it?